Filing-level work on dividend coverage, capital structure, maturity schedules and financing access. Every reported figure or calculation traces to issuer disclosures and stated arithmetic. Every reconstructed schedule is tied back to the issuer’s stated total before publication.
A dividend is the last event in a sequence. The work reconstructs that sequence from primary filings rather than inferring it from a payout ratio.
Coverage measured against each issuer’s own adjusted measure, on the period the issuer reported and on the period it guided. Where the two disagree, both are shown and the denominators are named.
Year-by-year schedules rebuilt by debt type from supplemental packages, then summed and tied to the issuer’s stated total before any reading is drawn from them.
Issuance, retirement, term-loan draws, swap terms, forward equity and settlement obligations, taken from 8-K filings and supplementals rather than from summaries.
Reported distance to contractual thresholds, carried with the issuer’s own caveat on how those ratios should be read. Distance is not translated into borrowing capacity.
Where two companies use the same word for different arithmetic — cap rate, annualized base rent, adjusted EBITDA — the definitions are set side by side and the comparison is withheld.
Coverage today, maturity tomorrow, market access when tomorrow arrives. The three do not run at the same speed, and a single quarter shows their position rather than settling which one matters most.
Coverage measures the surface. Half-life asks how many periods a stated rate of compression would take to halve or exhaust the cushion an issuer currently reports.
The distance between the lowest investment-grade rung and the first speculative one is not one notch of risk. Crossing below investment grade can change the eligible buyer base under mandates that restrict speculative-grade holdings.
Every schedule must tie back to the issuer total before a gap is called “not disclosed.”
Operating ruleMost research asks to be believed. These two pages are reproduced from the Technical Appendix so the method can be inspected before anything is read.
Eight reconstructed schedules. Eight exact ties to issuer-reported totals. Where a balance was identified by residual rather than stated by the issuer, the derivation is labeled and the two methods are shown to agree.
Sources —
An issuer reported a 6.0-year weighted average. This is the schedule beneath it, rebuilt by year and by debt type, with commercial paper separated from term maturities and the total tied to $5,691,901 thousand as reported.
Source —Carried forward to the next disclosure. Not estimated, not inferred.
Stated plainly, because for a professional reader the constraints are as material as the coverage.
Where a filing does not itemize a cause, no cause is assigned. Where two issuers define a measure differently, the comparison is declined rather than estimated. Unresolved items are listed as unresolved and carried to the next disclosure.
The common thread is not an asset class. It is the sequence from distribution to cash generation to capital requirement to maturity to financing access — which is legible in any issuer that pays one.
| Segment | Representative work |
|---|---|
| Net lease REITs | Realty Income, W. P. Carey, Agree Realty, NNN REIT, Essential Properties, Four Corners, Broadstone, Getty |
| Gaming, data center, towers | VICI, Gaming & Leisure, Digital Realty, Equinix, American Tower, Crown Castle |
| Residential, industrial, storage, healthcare | Mid-America, Prologis, STAG, Rexford, Americold, Public Storage, Extra Space, CubeSmart, Healthpeak, Omega, Welltower, Ventas |
| Business development companies | Ares Capital, Main Street, Blackstone Secured Lending, Goldman Sachs BDC, Blue Owl, non-traded BDC structures, PIK income |
| Mortgage REITs and credit | AGNC, Annaly, Blackstone Mortgage, Starwood Property |
| CLO and closed-end structures | Eagle Point, Oxford Lane, XAI Octagon, Cohen & Steers |
| Midstream, utilities, operating companies | Enterprise Products, Kinder Morgan, Duke, Southern, NextEra, UPS, FedEx, AT&T, Verizon, Brookfield Infrastructure |
Coverage requests, methodology questions, data verification, media and speaking. Replies come from the author.