Independent structural research

Dividend research that starts with the cash, not the yield.

Filing-anchored analysis of REITs, business development companies, payout coverage and credit risk. No positions. No recommendations.

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The method

A yield is one number divided by another.

It tells you what the market currently pays for a stream of cash, but not whether that stream will hold. Everything published here works in the same order.

The Order

Start with the property.
Trace the rent.
Check the debt.
Then judge the payout.

Filing-anchored

Every figure traces back to a company disclosure. Sources are named at the foot of each piece.

Peer-relative

A payout ratio means little alone. It is read beside a comparable issuer, with the definition differences stated.

Recent

Latest work

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Report No. 001 · MAA vs. W. P. Carey

Two REIT dividends read on each issuer’s own adjusted measure. Twenty-five pages in two volumes, built only from filings.

Report No. 001 — MAA vs. W. P. Carey, core report and technical appendix
Core Report · 15pp

Payout coverage on the quarter and on full-year guidance, the Three Clocks™ framework, and Buffer Half-Life™.

Technical Appendix · 10pp

Debt maturity schedules rebuilt from both issuers’ Q2 supplementals, covenant tables, and a reconciliation check.

Free with email. Includes the REIT Dividend Checklist.

Why it can be checked

Built to tie

Eight reconstructed schedules. Eight exact reconciliations to issuer-reported totals. The appendix shows the arithmetic rather than asserting it.

Reconciliation check: eight schedules tied exactly to issuer-reported totals
Technical Appendix · page 10
MAA debt maturity schedule rebuilt by year and debt type
Technical Appendix · page 2 · the ladder, rebuilt